Select all that apply. Probability can be thought of as:
There is a debate about how to interpret probability. All three of these can be ways to think of probability.
true
symmetrical outcomes
true
relative frequencies
true
subjective
The paper says there is an 80% chance of rain today, so you plan indoor activities. Then it doesn't rain. Was the forecast wrong?
The forecast would have only been wrong if it had predicted a 100% chance of rain. However, the probability assessments are wrong if, over time, it usually doesn't rain on days where an 80% chance of rain is predicted.
false
yes
true
no
Most probabilities we will deal with in psychology are zero or one.
We will deal with very few probabilities that are zero (definitely will not happen) or one (definitely will happen).
false
true
true
false